The theory of the recycled market...

For sometime i check many websites , forums , blogs , etc that publish tips. A very strange phenomenon appears to exist. I called it "recycled market" phenomenon. It seems that most of the market's tipsters follow nearly the same blog , sites , paysites and in general they do react as one entity when a play is published from one of those market moving guys. The only that a prosperous tipster or newcomer should do is to find those market movers , change the lines a bit e.g. a -1/4 tip to be changed into -1/2 and start walking the path of glory in the tipster's world.

So where is the good and the bad of this situation. First , when those market mover guys lose , the majority of the market loses and the majority of the sportbooks go to plus. Second , those matches advised on open free forums , blogs , sites , etc go into the basket of public bets. If you meet and talk with proffesional punters , the majority of them will tell you that only a tiny % of their bets concern public bets. Bets that are highly circulated on markets. I wouldn't go directly into the classic "dirty" explanation but let's phase a reality. Before a market mover tipster publishes a bet , the line could be different , as first he played himself , then his close friends , then somebody on a close forum and the final product is that you receive on the free website. A line could be easily changed once or twice before you buy the bet and that certainly puts you under the sportbook's belt. On the other side , big money on a game always increase the danger for the known reasons.

All in all , the majority of the profit made by sportbooks (profit not turnover) is on those 2.5 dead months of the summer....

The conclusion (if there is any) :

The market moves , a new type of tipsters appears , those i call pickers. The picker is the one who doesn't follow leagues , he just follows tipsters and picks which bet is good or not. The question is : Would you trust your money on a person with small or no knowldegde of a league to one of those pickers?

Good Afternoon...