Hello,
sometimes i feel like writing about the excellent job people of the site do concerning the way they inform members. Maybe this example concerns the Group but in reality it's applied to other websites or information sources.
Many old school tipsters - journalists - etc say that news play an important role to the education of the punter as those help the punter to decide his own , to evolve his betting style and in general create his own way and that tips are just a temporary solution as the punter just copies the desicion of somebody else. But is this the real case? what is the difference of news and previews of a tip? how we can say that preview of a tip couldn't be far more important than two pages of info considered as a new?
I read the preview of the match written by Galata yesterday, and how we moved me to bet on Euro 2008 even if i said that i will not take a single bet.... let's have a look...
"here’s huge problem in Turkish centre backs. Gokhan Zan, the only true back, is more gifted on headers but rather slow on grass and in my opinion he needs the game of his life to stop Klose. The other back, Mehmet Topal, is really a defensive midfielder, not so tall and totally inexperienced in this position at this level. "
then
"Plus totally unstable goalie Rustu, who was never good when it came to clear a phase inside his area. He’s good in blocking shots from outside, but he will have problem for sure with tall Germans in set pieces."
then
"Even if
Now look on the video and she how the goals were scored...
Who cares if player X or player Y is away? does this matter? you will have read thousands of those useless news articles by specialists or masters of writing but the real news could always be found under 2 or 3 short paragraphs. That matters... I don't have an idea who is Topal , no idea who is Zan but the person who writes and knows gave me the chance to know why those players have an important role and why those players make the writer decide on the bet... The other just read that this player is out and the other player is in... So what?
Tmr i will return with the Theorem of the Frog
2 comments:
thanks for writing, really appreciate you sharing your insights och thought as a veteran sportbettor, very educational :)
now i have a possible subject for your blog:
What do you do when you are almost 100% certain about the outcome of a match but the market offers around 1,35 - 1,6. to which degree would you follow your instict and how much would you bet relative to your net worth asuming the depth in the market is there to not lower the odds substantially. /albert
Hello Albert.
statistically when you rate the chance of an outcome to 100% then 1.35 - 1.6 is super value or free money. On the other side i believe that especially today there isn't such posibility.
I will give you one example of a situation i heard sometime ago. One chairman had his team close to relegation , he decided to pay 2 defenders of the opposite team to win a match for him. He then took a big bet and was 100% that we will win. But he didn't knew that 3 defenders of his own team already have taken bets against their team. The result was for the chairman to lose his bet and also the bribe money. So if a team chairman can't be 100% sure how we may be?
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